OSW

SIGNATURE WORK
CONFERENCE & EXHIBITION 2022

Mathematical Modeling on COVID-19 Intervention Policies and a Novel Method to Achieve Optimized Vaccination Campaign

Name

Bolin Song

Major

Data Science

Class

2022

About

Bolin Song, Data Science

Signature Work Project Overview

This project aims to model different intervention policies during COVID-19 and provide a policy-based recommendation on optimizing governments’ vaccination campaigns. By taking the example of India’s COVID-19 scenarios, we show that vaccination is the most effective intervention policy. Moreover, we provide a machine learning-based policy recommendation method on the vaccination campaign of COVID-19 by minimizing three different cost factors: the duration of the pandemic, the budget of the COVID-19 battle as well as the death toll. We validate our method based on the real-world dataset of India by comparing our simulated results with the government’s vaccination plan from machine learning prediction. Our approach shows a 13% decrease in disease control time and government budget. At the same time, we find out that vaccination based on each province’s population leads to a 12.4% decrease in the death toll than on infection cases. The model developed in this study has practical implications for COVID-19 vaccination campaigns and the infection control of other infectious diseases.

Signature Work Presentation Video