OSW

SIGNATURE WORK
CONFERENCE & EXHIBITION 2024

Impact of River Dredging on Water Quality in Suzhou: A Study Based on the Sarima Model

Name

Xiaoan Bao

Major

Environmental Science / Biogeochemistry

Class

2024

About

My name is Bao Xiao-an, and I am a student at Duke Kunshan University majoring in the biogeochemistry branch of the environmental science program.

Signature Work Project Overview

This study explores the impact of river dredging on water quality in Suzhou, China, using a SARIMA model to predict water quality variables in rivers without dredging for comparison. The study spans the water quality data from 2019 to 2023, calculating CCME-WQI scores for each river. Results indicate that rivers Shi and Zhu, two river being dredged, showed significant increases in observed water quality index scores, while the scores for predicted water quality data for these two rivers without dredging decreased substantially. The magnitude of improvement in water quality for nearby undredged Zhao was less than one-fifth of the improvements observed in Shi and Zhu. These findings suggest that river dredging indeed leads to improved water quality within at least an eight-month timeframe. The study emphasizes the importance of employing proper dredging practices and thorough monitoring protocols to mitigate potential environmental impacts.

Signature Work Presentation Video